Crimson Red Sports

At one point this season, sportsbook employees and owners hated Alabama almost as much as Auburn does.

Typically one of the fastest-adjusting markets you'll find, oddsmakers could not fathom an Alabama with one of the nation's best passing games.

The Crimson Tide flattened Louisville, Arkansas State and Ole Miss by an average score of 57-9, costing sportsbooks hundreds of thousands of dollars in the process.

Oddsmakers kept inflating Alabama's betting lines, practically begging for money to come in against the Tide. Sportsbooks finally solved the equation against the spread thanks to a back-door cover by Texas A&M in the fourth quarter.....


Occasionally, a team like Alabama does something so hard to process that it takes time to adjust. And then risk managers are intent on making sure that team does not continue to make the house bleed money.

At this point in the season, oddsmakers and risk managers have perfected Alabama lines, having obsessed over them during the middle of the schedule.

My first thought was that BetOnline's oddsmakers may be as tired of the UCF narrative as many of you, and that they were trying to make some sort of statement by posting a bit of an inflated line. But after studying the hypothetical matchup a little more, I think the line is precise.

The key would be for it to be a game that counts like the playoffs, not a whatever bowl for not making the playoffs (like Auburn last year).  Although, this year, I think whoever plays them will be ready to smack them back to reality just to shut them up.

Looks like Vegas needs to recalculate.  :lol2:

You're throwing away money if you're betting college football.



Unless it's for e-creds!   :lol2:

I was just thinking the other day that I need to run an overall report now that we have 8 years of data to see if anyone is above 50%.  Maybe someday soon I can add an all time winning percentage page or something.