"Which 2012 Teams Fit the National Championship Mold?"

[Chechem]

Phil Steele
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First I started off with the 120 teams who played in the FBS last year as I think we can all agree that UMass, South Alabama, Texas St and UTSA will not win the national title this year.

My first category was to look at wins and losses the previous season and each team that contended for and/or won a national title in the last 20 years at minimum lost five games or less the previous seasons (ex: Okla 7-5 in ’99, OSU 7-5 in ’01).

This eliminated 71 teams right out of the gate and here are the 49 teams that met this first general category....

[Catch Prothro]

In order to fit the National Championship mold the remaining 47 teams would have had to allow less than 27.5 ppg last year. This category would eliminate eight teams as Baylor (37.2), Toledo (31.7), Northern Illinois (30.3), Louisiana (29., Clemson (29.3), Auburn (28.9), Kansas St (27.9) and Wyoming (27. all allowed more than 27.5 ppg last year. 

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