Bowl pick em?

[bamaphil]

I really don't know where my success this year came from.  I seem to remember consistently being around .500 in the past.  I didn't change my approach this year, just went down the list and went with my first instinct.  I probably spent 60 seconds or less on picks each week.

Have you considered buying a lottery ticket?

 

You're asking that of a Baptist minister? 

[2Stater]

I really don't know where my success this year came from.  I seem to remember consistently being around .500 in the past.  I didn't change my approach this year, just went down the list and went with my first instinct.  I probably spent 60 seconds or less on picks each week.

Have you considered buying a lottery ticket?

 

You're asking that of a Baptist minister? 

 

[Catch Prothro]

I really don't know where my success this year came from.  I seem to remember consistently being around .500 in the past.  I didn't change my approach this year, just went down the list and went with my first instinct.  I probably spent 60 seconds or less on picks each week.

Instinct doesn't work for me.  I did much better in the pickem this year because I took a close look at the games in the process of deciding which ones to put on the list.  I picked the last week and the bowl games on instinct (no selection process), and we see how that turned out.  (But I'm making a comeback on the bowl competition, letting someone else have a turn holding up the totem pole).

[ricky023]

I really don't know where my success this year came from.  I seem to remember consistently being around .500 in the past.  I didn't change my approach this year, just went down the list and went with my first instinct.  I probably spent 60 seconds or less on picks each week.

Have you considered buying a lottery ticket?

 

You're asking that of a Baptist minister? 

Now forget the picks, but Bamaphil are you a Baptist Preacher? RTR!

[bamaphil]

I really don't know where my success this year came from.  I seem to remember consistently being around .500 in the past.  I didn't change my approach this year, just went down the list and went with my first instinct.  I probably spent 60 seconds or less on picks each week.

Have you considered buying a lottery ticket?

 

You're asking that of a Baptist minister? 

Now forget the picks, but Bamaphil are you a Baptist Preacher? RTR!

I'm Baptist and I preach from time to time, so I guess I am.  Oddly enough I've had less opportunities to preach since I left Beijing a year ago.  Recently I've been doing more small group studies than traditional preaching.

[XBAMA]

man , I'm in some good company up in here 

woot ! 

my property values are skyrocketing 

[SUPERCOACH]

Maybe I can cheer everyone up with something I read abut oddsmakers/gamblers. I read that if you can get it right 55%% of the time you are an excellent picker of sports "winners" based on the point spread. Anyone claiming a 70-80% success rate over a long period of time is a liar, per the experts.



 

A database query shows that we have several members that are over 55% all time:

Member	Correct	Incorrect	Total	Percentage
Tidewest	178	126	304	0.5855
XBAMA	360	264	624	0.5769
BamaDave	158	120	278	0.5683
bama57	535	412	947	0.5649
SUPERCOACH	527	412	939	0.5612
Sqwig	489	386	875	0.5589
BAMAWV	355	284	639	0.5556
rueben	76	62	138	0.5507

This includes all of the games (no mulligans like we have in our contest).  I only included members with at least 100 picks.

I would take a 50% correct pick on the bowl pickem right now

Me too.

[SUPERCOACH]

90% of our members are at .500 or above.  Not bad at all.  Overall the entire forum is 0.5270

Thanks for pointing that out!   

Don't worry, you are 1 of the 90%.

[bama57]

WoW! I just padded my losses!

[bama87]

I went with my heart and picked Texas, thinking CMB last game. Now I wish I hadn't done that. A pick 6 is not a good start.

[Chechem]

I went with my heart and picked Texas, thinking CMB last game. Now I wish I hadn't done that. A pick 6 is not a good start.

If I miss this pick, I'm retiring.  I've missed on 10 of the 17, so I'm probably wrong, but I can't believe that Texas will play within 14 of Oregon.

[Catch Prothro]

I went with my heart and picked Texas, thinking CMB last game. Now I wish I hadn't done that. A pick 6 is not a good start.

I almost picked Texas because of the point spread, but my brain kept saying "NO" to Texas.  

You know Mack Brown is the same age as Saban?  He just seems older.

I don't care if Mack Brown wins his last game or not.  He has been collecting his $millions without putting the work into building a winning team.   

[Marshal Dillon]

Maybe I can cheer everyone up with something I read abut oddsmakers/gamblers. I read that if you can get it right 55%% of the time you are an excellent picker of sports "winners" based on the point spread. Anyone claiming a 70-80% success rate over a long period of time is a liar, per the experts.



 

A database query shows that we have several members that are over 55% all time:

Member	Correct	Incorrect	Total	Percentage
Tidewest	178	126	304	0.5855
XBAMA	360	264	624	0.5769
BamaDave	158	120	278	0.5683
bama57	535	412	947	0.5649
SUPERCOACH	527	412	939	0.5612
Sqwig	489	386	875	0.5589
BAMAWV	355	284	639	0.5556
rueben	76	62	138	0.5507

This includes all of the games (no mulligans like we have in our contest).  I only included members with at least 100 picks.

Excellent info, SC. Thanks. I have a personal experience with professional gambling. I was working in North Alabama over 30 years ago. One day in a small town in the county, a home "exploded." Luckily, the family was not there. It was a nice home and the guy who owned it was a professional gambler, which is legal if you report your earnings to the IRS.

P.S.
There was NO gas leak, if you know what I mean.


 

[bama87]

My win one for Mack is going to backfire. Thank you very much Case McCoy for the 2 pick 6.

[Marshal Dillon]

My win one for Mack is going to backfire. Thank you very much Case McCoy for the 2 pick 6.

You really thought this bunch of bumbling, stumbling, fumbling, over-matched, poorly coached guys would win one for Mack?


   

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