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Author Topic: Bryan Fischer tweet about value of college football teams  (Read 1095 times)
Merk
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« on: January 14, 2012, 02:19:32 PM »


Click on the link to the Wall Street Journal.


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« Reply #1 on: January 14, 2012, 09:07:24 PM »

Thanks for pointing us to these very intersting data.

NCAA football, like American capitalism in general, is like a game of monopoly. In the beginning everyone is having a blast. There is nothing but opportunity and promise. At the end, all the properties are bought and the guy with all the money and property is the only one who wants to keep playing. College football is approaching the end of its monopoly game. The gap between the top schools and the rest widens. The revenue allows the elite schools to purchase coaches and facilities to attrack recruits who see these elite programs as gateways to the NFL. Those recruits win championships which bring in TV and merchandising revenues. Repeat.

But the TV and merchandising money rely on a national market. As the have-not teams come to realize they are also the "never will" teams, they will stop trying to compete at the elite level. They will return to small time college football. In most of America fans will be content with small time hot chocolate and blankets football. They have their pro teams to turn to for competitive football. The only major exception will be the south, where there are elite college teams and few pro teams. As big time college football becomes more and more southern, it will become less and less interesting to the folks on the coasts. That means smaller TV deals and shrinking merchandising revenues.

The only thing that might avert the implosion of college football is something like division wide revenue sharing or budget caps. Without some way of keeping 50 or 60 teams in the running for the NC, what remains of elite college football will colapse under its own weight.
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« Reply #2 on: January 15, 2012, 10:43:09 AM »

I just thought it was interesting having a value placed on college football teams. According to the article, Bama is worth around 500M.
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« Reply #3 on: January 17, 2012, 08:56:04 AM »

Thanks for pointing us to these very intersting data.

NCAA football, like American capitalism in general, is like a game of monopoly. In the beginning everyone is having a blast. There is nothing but opportunity and promise. At the end, all the properties are bought and the guy with all the money and property is the only one who wants to keep playing. College football is approaching the end of its monopoly game. The gap between the top schools and the rest widens. The revenue allows the elite schools to purchase coaches and facilities to attrack recruits who see these elite programs as gateways to the NFL. Those recruits win championships which bring in TV and merchandising revenues. Repeat.

But the TV and merchandising money rely on a national market. As the have-not teams come to realize they are also the "never will" teams, they will stop trying to compete at the elite level. They will return to small time college football. In most of America fans will be content with small time hot chocolate and blankets football. They have their pro teams to turn to for competitive football. The only major exception will be the south, where there are elite college teams and few pro teams. As big time college football becomes more and more southern, it will become less and less interesting to the folks on the coasts. That means smaller TV deals and shrinking merchandising revenues.

The only thing that might avert the implosion of college football is something like division wide revenue sharing or budget caps. Without some way of keeping 50 or 60 teams in the running for the NC, what remains of elite college football will colapse under its own weight.

I'm afraid there's a lot of truth to what you say.  NCAA control will only have to broaden eventually.

The formation of the "super conferences" may slow down this process and keep at least 64 teams competitive....or enough teams in each conference competitive to keep the money flowing at 64 universities.
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